Plain-English mechanics

How Flashpoly works

Flashpoly creates recurring, player-pooled prediction markets. Participants take UP or DOWN positions, an independent live price settles the outcome, and the correct side splits the pool.

The market loop

Four stages, one result

The server controls the clock. The interface mirrors the same timestamps for every participant.

OpenMarket prepares

A new recurring market begins.

ChooseTake a position

Select UP or DOWN before lock.

ResolveWatch live data

The outcome runs from the locked reference.

SettleDistribute pool

The correct side receives its return.

1. A market opens

Every market states the question, available positions, entry deadline, resolution time, data source, and payout rule. The current Bitcoin market asks whether BTC/USD will finish above or below its lock price after five seconds.

2. Players choose opposing positions

Participants select UP or DOWN and choose a stake. Their calls join the corresponding side of the shared pool. The interface shows the money and number of calls on each side.

Before lock, the displayed return is an estimate. A new position changes the pool composition, so the estimate can move until entry closes.

3. The market locks

At the end of the entry window, the market records its reference price and stops accepting positions. The pool and estimated returns freeze. No participant can switch sides or add a call after lock.

4. Independent data settles the result

At resolution, Flashpoly compares the final live-data value with the locked reference. For the current market, a higher Pyth BTC/USD price means UP wins, a lower price means DOWN wins, and a movement within the stated tie threshold returns stakes.

How the player pool pays

Flashpoly's current markets are pari-mutuel. Every stake enters one shared pool. After the result, participants on the correct side split the distributable pool in proportion to how much they contributed to the winning side.

The current fee is 3% of the total mixed pool, capped at the losing side. A winning payout includes the returned stake. The settlement engine uses integer cents and distributes rounding remainder so no cent silently disappears.

Refund conditions

Ties and voids return all stakes without a fee. One-sided pools also return stakes because there was no opposing position. If the live price is stale at settlement during a real-money round, that round voids instead of settling against uncertain data.

You play against the pool

Flashpoly does not publish fixed bookmaker odds. Pool composition determines the estimated return, which freezes at lock.

Participation modes

Practice and real money are separate

FREE PRACTICE

Learn without a deposit

Anonymous visitors receive practice calls. Nothing is deducted, the call does not enter the real pool, and any displayed practice return is not withdrawable.

REAL BALANCE

USDC on Solana

Signed-in players use their Flashpoly USDC balance when real-money participation is available and lawful for them.

WITHDRAWALS

Player-controlled destination

Eligible balances can be requested to a valid Solana USDC address, subject to the limits and checks shown in the withdrawal flow.

House-operated participation

Flashpoly may place house-funded participants in a pool to keep recurring markets active. Those entries use house funds, enter before lock, settle against the same price, and can win or lose under the same pool rule. They are not independent human traction and should not be interpreted as unique users.

Risk and expected value

Very short price movement is highly uncertain. A player can lose the complete stake on an incorrect real-money call. Because mixed pools charge a fee, a typical player's balance is expected to decline over repeated play. Flashpoly is entertainment, not investing or a reliable method of earning income.

Details

Read the exact rules

MARKET

Bitcoin specification

Review the exact question, entry window, outcome clock, fee, and tie rule.

Open specification

DATA

Methodology

Review the Pyth feed, server clock, freshness protection, and settlement calculation.

Read methodology

DISCLOSURE

Transparency

Understand practice, house-funded activity, fees, custody, and the limits of public metrics.

Read disclosures

You must be 18 or older, or the age of majority where you live. Do not participate with real money where prohibited. See the full terms and risk disclosure.